Monday, December 23, 2013

The Edge Weekly - No Room for Error

It is a snippet of an interview of Nazir:



·         Us recovery and QE tapering is real, this could cause tail-spin in Malaysian capital market but it is manageable.
·         Outflow of capital is manageable will not create chaos
·         Fortunately, Malaysia remain to have positive CA, ie we did not overspent when dollar is cheap
·         India and Indonesia have twin deficit ie fiscal and CA deficit
·         But Malaysia’s pro-long fiscal deficit and high level of national debts (55% GDP) pose a down-grade risk to the country
·         Malaysia – a high saving nation
·         Malaysian foreign currency denominated debts is low
·         BNM forex reserve is also high ~ RM140B enough to cushion out flows of US30B foreign investment in bond
·         Outflows of foreign funds does not pose major threat to Malaysia
·         But the local funds may exit the country if the confidence level slide down
·         Major local funds are EPF, PNB and KWAP remain faithful to the country
·         But private funds from HNI and corporate may move out the country
·         News and sound bites that Malaysian is investing overseas properties
·         Political stability should not be taken for granted. Country with stable politic outlook able keep foreign investment longer.
·         On overcoming corruption and strengthening transparency – to strengthen MACC and practice amnesty – let the bygones be bygones.

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